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Original-Research: EAMD European AeroMarine Drones AG - von GBC AG

Einstufung von GBC AG zu EAMD European AeroMarine Drones AG

Unternehmen: EAMD European AeroMarine Drones AG
ISIN: DE0006611957

Anlass der Studie: Research Report (Initial Coverage)
Empfehlung: BUY
Kursziel: 80.00 EUR
Kursziel auf Sicht von: 31.12.2023
Letzte Ratingänderung: -
Analyst: Matthias Greiffenberger, Marcel Schaffer

Innovative drone-based close and remote monitoring with efficiency and cost
advantages. First order for 5 drones already secured until 2024. First
revenues expected in 2023. Speculative investment with high future
potential.
 
In the medium term, the management of EAMD European AeroMarine Drones AG
(EAMD) plans to build up a portfolio of high-tech SMEs in the aviation
sector with a focus on close and remote surveillance. To develop new
prototypes, SMEs often lack access to capital and the distribution strength
to sell fleets to large customers. EAMD plans to fund SME prototype
development in exchange for pre-sales rights or exclusivity of product
distribution.
 
Currently, the first cooperation exists with Reiner Stemme Aero GmbH
(RS.Aero). RS.Aero has two drones in development, which can be used manned
and unmanned. As part of their cooperation, a sister company of RS.Aero,
Reiner Stemme Red Eagle AG (RS Red Eagle), is to be contributed to EAMD in
the near future by way of a capital increase in kind. RS.Aero has two
drones in development, the EAMD Whisper, which is expected to reach market
maturity in 2023, and a larger model, the Geo-Explorer, which is expected
to reach market maturity in 2024. EAMD, through Red Eagle, will receive a
pre-sale right to the production of the Whisper and the Geo-Explorer from
RS.Aero. For the successful sale, EAMD will receive a sales commission of
15% from RS.Aero.
 
There is currently no operational development in EAMD, so the balance sheet
is very lean with insignificant sales and a low net result. Red Eagle also
has a very lean balance sheet and should, in the case of a contribution in
kind of around EUR 20 million, create goodwill as well as equity for the
most part.
 
Management assumes a very dynamic development of Whisper and Geo-Explorer
sales, with revenues of EUR 3.75 million in 2023, EUR 15 million in 2024,
EUR 28.5 million in 2025 and EUR 48.75 million in 2026. With sales figures
totaling 5 (2023), 16 (2024), 28 (2025) and 47 (2026). In our opinion, the
expected development of the EAMD management is subject to certain
uncertainties. Against the backdrop of the still outstanding non-cash
capital increase and the high level of planning uncertainty, we have
assumed probabilities of occurrence for revenues in the coming years. The
probability of occurrence is 100% for the year 2022, followed by 75% for
the year 2023 and 50% for the years 2024 and 2025. Thus, in accordance with
the probability of occurrence, we plan revenues of EUR 0.00 million for the
fiscal year 2022, followed by EUR 2.81 million in 2023 and EUR 7.13 million
in 2024 and EUR 14.25 million in 2025.
 
As there is no production at EAMD, but only sales, very high EBITDA margins
can be achieved. We therefore expect EBITDA of EUR -0.5 million in 2022,
followed by EUR 1.43 million in 2023 and EUR 4.57 million in 2024, and EUR
9.9 million in 2025.
 
Based on our DCF model, we have determined a fair enterprise value of EUR
27.06 million. Based on an outstanding number of shares of 0.34 million,
this corresponds to a target price of EUR 80.00. The share of EAMD European
AeroMarine Drones AG represents a speculative investment and has a very
high price potential in case of success. We assign a Buy Rating.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:
http://www.more-ir.de/d/24491.pdf

Kontakt für Rückfragen
GBC AG
Halderstraße 27
86150 Augsburg
0821 / 241133 0
research@gbc-ag.de
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Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG und Art. 20 MAR Beim oben
analysierten Unternehmen ist folgender möglicher Interessenkonflikt gegeben: (5a,11); Einen
Katalog möglicher Interessenkonflikte finden Sie unter:
http://www.gbc-ag.de/de/Offenlegung
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Date and time of completion of the study: German Version: 24.06.2022 (11:10 a.m.) English
Version: 28.06.2022 (5:30 p.m.) 
Date and time of the first disclosure of the study: German Version: 27.06.2022 (11:00 a.m.)
English Version: 29.06.2022 (9:00 a.m.)

-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------


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